Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 113.804046 126.036172 138.635722 152.556041 167.476739 182.962575 200.222335
2024-10-20 91.916195 109.630143 128.838432 151.096217 176.056887 203.067242 234.384815
2024-10-27 75.552256 96.813288 121.019803 150.322178 184.528852 222.900735 268.891486
2024-11-03 65.866669 90.154753 119.051530 155.394536 199.293493 250.029229 312.495434
2024-11-10 57.350760 83.660343 116.296941 158.816810 211.778874 274.618228 353.804001
2024-11-17 50.724031 78.586457 114.517669 162.849281 224.710283 299.802001 396.323561
2024-11-24 45.606698 74.780979 113.782385 167.782081 238.584989 326.257645 440.888888
2024-12-01 37.732805 66.138400 105.725940 162.354427 238.611290 335.102604 463.594124
2024-12-08 32.121305 60.004905 100.411415 159.961193 242.091496 348.015587 491.331201
2024-12-15 28.433980 56.288597 98.088598 161.321433 250.341752 367.022620 527.011697
2024-12-22 25.520630 53.407620 96.658107 163.681944 259.818119 387.667411 565.060681
2024-12-29 23.957688 52.548464 98.125281 170.162076 275.058337 416.183411 613.844223
2025-01-05 21.806877 50.494045 97.675360 173.911214 286.783351 440.572701 658.173638
2025-01-12 18.882222 46.667312 94.085332 172.688764 291.298709 455.233179 689.847530
2025-01-19 16.436486 43.373215 91.050408 172.060234 296.530167 470.891757 723.093071
2025-01-26 15.339375 42.562395 92.089174 177.794726 311.229317 499.975450 775.073380
2025-02-02 14.054929 41.180609 92.001110 181.652534 323.158658 525.338712 822.328357
2025-02-09 12.996250 40.115014 92.348429 186.150059 336.081685 552.262415 872.070244
2025-02-16 12.163591 39.425160 93.294723 191.618860 350.572680 581.640935 925.630372
2025-02-23 10.024653 35.354856 87.627121 185.648913 347.094273 584.922997 942.596123
2025-03-02 8.541518 32.555069 84.078836 183.017085 348.619916 595.363362 969.663844
2025-03-09 7.645135 31.077057 82.970855 184.524262 356.677131 615.468908 1010.688575
2025-03-16 6.940338 29.978987 82.520961 187.132561 366.512867 638.323106 1055.912135